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Prediction for CME (2024-03-10T23:36:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2024-03-10T23:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/29555/-1 CME Note: Second of two overlapping consecutive faint CMEs in the NW, partially obscured by a pylon in SOHO LASCO C3 and not seen in STEREO A COR2 because of a data gap. One possible source could be an eruption east of AR 3603 centered around N13W23 seen after 2024-03-10T22:45Z in AIA 304/193/171, with small-area but deep dimming and localized bright post-eruptive arcades. Alternative source could be a very minor opening of field lines on/behind the NW limb after 2024-03-10T21:30Z seen in AIA 193. No CME arrival signature in solar wind. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-03-14T10:00Z Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 3.0 Prediction Method: Average of all Methods Prediction Method Note: This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 19.42 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2024-03-13T14:35Z |
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